Citigroup expects aluminum to bottom within the next month a
文 / 小金
2026-07-03 02:40:03
来源:亚金网
Citigroup expects aluminum to bottom within the next month and to recover to $3,300–3,500/ton during Sep–Dec. The call is based on a more dovish Fed outlook, falling real rates, an improving demand outlook and inventories declining on a consumption‑days basis. The bank says the recent ~20% drop from about $4,450/t over the past month largely reflected weaker-than-expected demand, slower visible inventory draws, easing geopolitical risk, concentrated liquidations of speculative and physical positions, and rising expectations of future supply increases. Citigroup warns conditions do not favor shorting: the market was in a supply deficit before the recent shock and new supply is unlikely to close the gap quickly. It also says concerns about a rapid return of Middle East supply may be overstated.
